06 October 2008 @ 11:58 pm
Understanding Financial Meltdowns  
Like most (all?) Americans, I've been trying to figure out what the hell happened to the financial system, why we have the bailout plan we have, and whether I should think it's a good thing. Most of the sources I found are either too superficial or filled with jargon I didn't understand.

A month ago, I had the good luck to catch an episode of the radio program, This American Life, which explained the background of the housing crisis. It was phenomenal. This Sunday, I caught part of another episode, which explained the bailout, credit default swaps, why the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers forced AIG into financial straits...and how the meltdown ballooned out of the commercial paper market freeze. I had to leave before the show finished so I made it a point to search out the online version; it was just that good.

These programs are aimed for an audience with no knowledge of the U.S. financial system and they take the time to explain the terminology in easily digested words. :) Each one is an hour. If you're interested in listening to them yourself, here are the links:

The Giant Pool of Money: A special program about the housing crisis produced in a special collaboration with NPR News. We explain it all to you. What does the housing crisis have to do with the turmoil on Wall Street? Why did banks make half-million dollar loans to people without jobs or income? And why is everyone talking so much about the 1930s? It all comes back to the Giant Pool of Money.

Another Frightening Show about the Economy: They'll explain what happened this week, including what regulators could've done to prevent this financial crisis from happening in the first place.

Both are free to download from the links given. The second is available this week only on iTunes as a "This American Life" podcast for free. :)
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tejas[identity profile] tejas.livejournal.com on October 7th, 2008 03:32 pm (UTC)
When the stock market started shooting up to 10,000, I started going "HUH?".

When I was a kid, my dad took the WSJ. His company started offering stock options to the blue collar guys and my dad decided he needed to understand this new benefit. As a result, I had not only the Chronicle and Time, but now the WSJ to absorb (I was a word sponge at 9). I learned how to read the stock pages and how to follow the ups and downs and what all that crap meant. As I also read some of the articles, if I understood them or not, I started connecting what the articles said with what the numbers did. It was like a game. It was fun.

Jump forward a few decades.

I don't read the financial pages any more, but some of what I learned then, seems to have stuck at a very deep level. *Nothing* about the 10,000 level in the market made sense. I couldn't figure out where the *stuff* was coming from to generate that kind of rise, especially since it didn't just peak weirdly and then settle. (This is where I should also say that I never did understand economics when I took it. The whole discipline seems completely counter-intuitive and I'm leery of things that are counter-intuitive.)

What I'm hoping I'll learn when I watch those shows is something to explain that. What I *fear* is that it's *all* been manipulation and fraud.

I have nothing in the market and I'm so very happy for that. The stock market isn't an "investment", it's a gamble and I never gamble what I can't afford to lose.

Edited 2008-10-07 03:36 pm (UTC)
Mish[identity profile] hsapiens.livejournal.com on October 8th, 2008 08:28 pm (UTC)
I haven't understood how any economy can work without some form of manufacturing. I don't see how agriculture and service alone make for a strong economy.

I never got into reading business news and I have no foundational knowledge of the larger financial systems.

What I'm hoping I'll learn when I watch those shows is something to explain that. What I *fear* is that it's *all* been manipulation and fraud.

They don't address the DJIA so they might not be what you're looking for. They're about the conditions that gave rise to the sub-prime mortgage market (the first link) and the mechanics of the system that caused the Fed & Treasury to suddenly panic (the second link).

I have nothing in the market and I'm so very happy for that. The stock market isn't an "investment", it's a gamble and I never gamble what I can't afford to lose.

How are you saving for retirement? Are you buying bonds and T-bills? Is there something else out there?
tejas[identity profile] tejas.livejournal.com on October 8th, 2008 08:36 pm (UTC)
I have an old-fashioned pension.

And I agree, you really can't sustain a viable economy without manufacturing of some kind. One of the Obama's ideas that I really like is heading into the rust belt and setting up plants to manufacture the necessary technology for renewable fuel *there*.